Skip Navigation

ICES Journal of Marine Science: Journal du Conseil 2005 62(3):328-332; doi:10.1016/j.icesjms.2005.01.013
This Article
Right arrow Full Text Freely available
Right arrow FREE Full Text (PDF) Freely available
Right arrow Alert me when this article is cited
Right arrow Alert me if a correction is posted
Services
Right arrow Email this article to a friend
Right arrow Similar articles in this journal
Right arrow Alert me to new issues of the journal
Right arrow Add to My Personal Archive
Right arrow Download to citation manager
Right arrowRequest Permissions
Google Scholar
Right arrow Articles by Rodionov, S.
Right arrow Articles by Overland, J. E.
Right arrow Search for Related Content
PubMed
Right arrow Articles by Rodionov, S.
Right arrow Articles by Overland, J. E.
Social Bookmarking
Add to CiteULike   Add to Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us  
What's this?

© 2005 International Council for the Exploration of the Sea

Application of a sequential regime shift detection method to the Bering Sea ecosystem

Sergei Rodionova,* and James E. Overlandb

a Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, Box 354235, University of Washington Seattle, WA 98195-4235, USA
b NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Seattle, WA 98115-6349, USA

*Correspondence to S. Rodionov: tel: +1 206 5266211; fax: +1 206 5266485. e-mail: Sergei.Rodionov{at}noaa.gov.

A common problem of existing methods for regime shift detection is their poor performance at the ends of time-series. Consequently, shifts in environmental and biological indices are usually detected long after their actual appearance. A recently introduced method based on sequential t-test analysis of regime shifts (STARS) treats all incoming data in real time, signals the possibility of a regime shift as soon as possible, then monitors how perception of the magnitude of the shift changes over time. Results of a STARS application to the eastern Bering Sea ecosystem show how the 1989 and 1998 regime shifts manifest themselves in biotic and abiotic indices in comparison with the 1977 shift.

Keywords: Bering Sea, ecosystem, regime shift, sequential analysis, t-test

Received 1 April 2004; accepted 8 December 2004.


Add to CiteULike CiteULike   Add to Connotea Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us Del.icio.us    What's this?


This article has been cited by other articles:


Home page
 ICES J. Mar. Sci.Home page
C. Mollmann, B. Muller-Karulis, G. Kornilovs, and M. A. St John
Effects of climate and overfishing on zooplankton dynamics and ecosystem structure: regime shifts, trophic cascade, and feedback loops in a simple ecosystem
ICES J. Mar. Sci., April 1, 2008; 65(3): 302 - 310.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


Disclaimer: Please note that abstracts for content published before 1996 were created through digital scanning and may therefore not exactly replicate the text of the original print issues. All efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, but the Publisher will not be held responsible for any remaining inaccuracies. If you require any further clarification, please contact our Customer Services Department.