ICES Journal of Marine Science: Journal du Conseil Advance Access originally published online on January 31, 2007
ICES Journal of Marine Science: Journal du Conseil 2007 64(3):425-438; doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsl042
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Environmental variability in the North Atlantic and Iberian waters and its influence on horse mackerel (Trachurus trachurus) and albacore (Thunnus alalunga) dynamics
1 Instituto Español de Oceanografía, CO Santander, Apartado 240, 39080 Santander, Spain
2 Departamento de Ciencias y Técnicas del Agua y del Medio Ambiente, E.U.I.T Minera e Ingeniería Ambiental, 39316 Tanos (Torrelavega), Spain
3 Instituto Español de Oceanografía, CO Vigo, Apartado 1552, 36280 Vigo, Spain
Correspondence to A. Lavín: tel: +34 942 291060; fax: +34 942 275072; e-mail: alicia.lavin{at}st.ieo.es
Lavín, A., Moreno-Ventas, X., Ortiz de Zárate, V., Abaunza, P., and Cabanas, J. M. 2007. Environmental variability in the North Atlantic and Iberian waters and its influence on horse mackerel (Trachurus trachurus) and albacore (Thunnus alalunga) dynamics. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 64: 425438.We explore the potential impact of climatic and oceanic variables on the dynamics of horse mackerel Trachurus trachurus (coastal distribution) and albacore Thunnus alalunga (oceanic distribution). Principal components analysis of a set of environmental parameters for the years 19662000 allowed us to characterize the system by three components. The first consisted mainly of sea surface temperature (SST; 18.5% of variability), the second was determined by the oceanic transport indices, potential energy anomaly (PEA), and the Gulf Stream Index (15.6%), and the third by the meridional wind component and Ekman transport (11.5%). Horse mackerel recruitment was negatively correlated mainly with the first thermal component, whereas albacore age 3 catches were negatively correlated with the second oceanic component and positively with the third wind component. Multiple linear regression confirmed that environmental conditions [SST, PEA, and the zonal (eastwest) wind component] explained the availability of age 3 albacore to the surface fisheries for the period 19751999. In contrast, cross-validation analysis showed that environmental conditions did not consistently explain horse mackerel recruitment, probably because of the short time-series available (15 y).
Keywords: albacore catch, environmental conditions, horse mackerel recruitment, multivariate analysis, North Atlantic, oceanographic indices, sea surface temperature
Received 3 July 2006; accepted 30 November 2006; advance access publication 31 January 2007.